PNC Infratech: Order book, monetisation of HAM projects to unlock value

Roadways and highways developer PNC Infratech posted a 46 for each cent drop in consolidated internet revenue to Rs ninety five crore as its product sales in the April-June quarter declined 28 for each cent to Rs one,092 crore in comparison to very last year.

Consolidated revenue just before tax slipped 46 for each cent YoY to Rs 125.88 crore in Q1FY21, although overall tax price fell forty seven for each cent to Rs 31.09 crore in throughout the period of time less than review. Consolidated EBITDA tumbled eighteen for each cent to Rs 287 crore in Q1FY21, EBITDA margin enhanced to 26.twenty five% in Q1 June 2020 from 23% in Q1 June 2019.

“The Business has entered into a Share Purchase Agreement (SPA) with Cube Highways and Infrastructure Pte. Ltd. for sale of 35% stake jointly held by the Business along with its wholly owned subsidiary, PNC Infra Holdings Confined in Ghaziabad Aligarh Expressway Non-public Confined on for closure of the offer within a overall period of time of twelve months from the day of arrangement. On the other hand, the said SPA stood lapsed, as the validity of the SPA expired just before the closure of the offer and the Events have made the decision not to prolong the validity additional May well 04, 2019,” it said in an trader presentation. The Business along with its’ co-promoters has been in discussions with yet another possible trader, who has evinced desire in the venture asset. Accordingly, procedure of thanks diligence receives underway, to carry on additional with the proposed divestment, it additional.

Here is how brokerages interpret the outcome:

IDBI Cash

Goal cost: Rs 201 | Reco: Acquire

PNC Infratech Q1FY21 execution (Revenue) was larger than our estimate by fourteen for each cent. Labor availability at the site has achieved ninety for each cent but thanks to monsoon, execution is at sixty for each cent. In Q1FY21, firm has acquired orders of Rs 3,000 crore and purchase book at Rs 7,800 crore equals to 2x TTM. Performing Cash at eighty four days has greater from fifty seven days QoQ, thanks to hold off in the payment by UP point out but PNCL expects normalization by Q2FY21.

As on Q1FY21, PNCL has internet income equilibrium of Rs3.4bn (standalone) and consolidated internet DER is one particular of the most affordable amongst friends at 1x. Inventory trades at 10x FY22 EPS (two STD of its indicate given that IPO) and TP implied valuation is 12x FY22E EPS. We like PNCL for its purchase book visibility and lean equilibrium sheet.

Indeed Securities

Goal cost: Rs 212 | Reco: Acquire

PNC Infratech has reported better‐than‐expected overall performance throughout Q1 FY21 (looking at covid‐19 connected effect). Its income declined 31.five for each cent YoY on standalone basis, mainly impacted by operational shutdown throughout initial 20 days of Arp’20. Also, labor problems and disrupted supply‐chain, and early onset of monsoon impacted execution speed.

Execution speed is probable to witness sharp advancement throughout H2 FY21 with superior labour/raw content availability and far more projects coming less than execution. Working margin to remain at all around 13 for each cent. Any substantial progress on monetization of BOT projects to translate into superior equilibrium sheet placement.

Phillip Cash

Goal cost: Rs 270 | Reco: Acquire

PNC reported decent effects – with headline quantities all in advance of anticipations. The most significant favourable was the firm getting capable to handle the margins (yoy and qoq), with energetic price tag controls. The orderbook, article the the latest wins (4 HAMs and two EPCs) seems sturdy at 3.5x book-to-product sales. The WC situation deteriorated a little bit, but the firm even now remains internet income (only firm apart from Ahluwalia in the sector) – equilibrium sheet remains powerful ample to fund the fairness need of HAM projects, on its possess. The administration taken care of its 10 for each cent YoY income de-development in FY21 – probable to be fulfilled very easily. We foresee powerful development in FY22 and beyond, pushed by powerful equilibrium sheet and orderbook.

We have designed minimal tweaks to our FY21 estimates (+8%). We now worth the EPC organization at 13x FY22 PE (inline with KNR and Ahluwalia, earlier 12x) and the BOT/HAM portfolio at one.0x/.7x P-BV. Our cost goal of Rs 270 (earlier Rs 260).

Sharekhan

Outlook: Favourable | Goal cost: Rs 199-202

Administration expects FY2021 standalone income to drop by 10% y-o-y on account of Covid, monsoons, and hold off in receipt of appointed dates for HAM projects. The firm expects to bag yet another Rs 4,000 crore purchase inflows for equilibrium FY2021 to achieve Rs. 7,000 crore purchase influx goal for FY2021. PNC expects purchase of equivalent quantum in FY2022.

The company’s purchase book remained powerful at Rs. 7,761 crore, although including one particular HAM venture awaiting appointed day, four HAM projects awaiting fiscal closure, and two not too long ago bagged EPC projects, it would be Rs fifteen,525 crore (translating to 3.5x its TTM standalone income). The firm would be requiring all around Rs one,000 crore fairness need for its HAM projects about the up coming 3 years, which would be fulfilled from interior accruals.

PNC is envisioned to decide on divestment of its GhaziabadAligarh in one particular to two months with thanks diligence getting accomplished by a possible customer. We have decreased our earnings estimates for FY2021E and FY2022E lowering execution led by weak execution on account of monsoon and hold off in getting appointed dates for HAM projects. PNC’s powerful purchase backlog (with receipt of appointed dates for HAM projects by Q4FY2021) is envisioned to direct to powerful income development in FY2022.

HDFC Securities

Goal cost: Rs 234 | Reco: Acquire

The firm is targeting to bag Rs 7000 crore of orders, of which it has currently secured Rs 30bn (one HAM & two EPC) year to day. To diversify away from highway phase, PNC is on the lookout at drinking water, metro and railways sector. In this way, PNC has submitted bids for 3 drinking water source projects, Rs 600 crore merged worth, less than the Jal Jeevan Mission.

PNC would need to infuse Rs one thousand crore fairness in less than construction and not too long ago received HAM projects by FY24. While PNC could fund the fairness need from interior accruals, we imagine, monetisation of HAM projects would be important to churn funds and unlock the worth.

Prabhudas Lilladher

Goal cost: Rs 219 | Reco: Acquire

PNCL remains as one particular of our desired picks in highway infra place given its one) healthier purchase book (~Rs155bn including not too long ago bagged projects), two) stellar execution speed with most projects getting accomplished within stipulated time, 3) steady EBITDA margins (fourteen-fifteen%) and 4) at ease financial debt-fairness ratio of .13x. Provided execution surprise in 1Q, we have revised our FY21E/FY22E earnings estimates by six.8 for each cent/7.3 for each cent. At CMP, the inventory trades at a P/E of 13.7x/8.3x onFY21E/FY22E EPS and is buying and selling at an EV of 7x/4.8x FY21E/FY22E EBITDA.

Dolat Cash

Goal cost: Rs 271 | Reco: Acquire

We assume financial debt to increase to Rs 450 crore every in FY21E/ FY22E vs. Rs 370 crore/ Rs 330 crore in FY19/ FY20. We component NWC (% of income) of 32.4 for each cent/ 23.six for each cent (FY21E/ FY22E) vs. twenty five.7 for each cent/ 32.4 for each cent (FY20/ FY19), thanks to a modest development in income, a capex of Rs 300 crore (about FY20-22E), and an fairness expense of Rs 1040 crore (about FY20-22E) in HAM projects.

PNC’s purchase book stands at Rs77.six bn as on Q1FY21. PNC received the Challakere-Hariyur HAM (EPC Rs9.35 bn) and 4 HAM and two EPC projects (EPC worth Rs68.3 bn) which are not provided in purchase book. Looking at this, purchase book stands at Rs155.3 bn (3.5x TTM income). We component influx of Rs112.two bn (Rs77.six bn acquired)/ Rs70 bn in FY21E/ FY22E vs. administration steerage of Rs70 bn in FY21E. PNC expects to receive appointed day for remaining Challakere-Hariyur HAM by mid Oct’20/ 4 HAM projects in Jan’21 and two packages of Delhi Vadodara in Oct’20.

PNC Infratech: Order book, monetisation of HAM projects to unlock value

Roadways and highways developer PNC Infratech posted a 46 for each cent drop in consolidated internet revenue to Rs ninety five crore as its product sales in the April-June quarter declined 28 for each cent to Rs one,092 crore in comparison to very last year.

Consolidated revenue just before tax slipped 46 for each cent YoY to Rs 125.88 crore in Q1FY21, although overall tax price fell forty seven for each cent to Rs 31.09 crore in throughout the period of time less than review. Consolidated EBITDA tumbled eighteen for each cent to Rs 287 crore in Q1FY21, EBITDA margin enhanced to 26.twenty five% in Q1 June 2020 from 23% in Q1 June 2019.

“The Business has entered into a Share Purchase Agreement (SPA) with Cube Highways and Infrastructure Pte. Ltd. for sale of 35% stake jointly held by the Business along with its wholly owned subsidiary, PNC Infra Holdings Confined in Ghaziabad Aligarh Expressway Non-public Confined on for closure of the offer within a overall period of time of twelve months from the day of arrangement. On the other hand, the said SPA stood lapsed, as the validity of the SPA expired just before the closure of the offer and the Events have made the decision not to prolong the validity additional May well 04, 2019,” it said in an trader presentation. The Business along with its’ co-promoters has been in discussions with yet another possible trader, who has evinced desire in the venture asset. Accordingly, procedure of thanks diligence receives underway, to carry on additional with the proposed divestment, it additional.

Here is how brokerages interpret the outcome:

IDBI Cash

Goal cost: Rs 201 | Reco: Acquire

PNC Infratech Q1FY21 execution (Revenue) was larger than our estimate by fourteen for each cent. Labor availability at the site has achieved ninety for each cent but thanks to monsoon, execution is at sixty for each cent. In Q1FY21, firm has acquired orders of Rs 3,000 crore and purchase book at Rs 7,800 crore equals to 2x TTM. Performing Cash at eighty four days has greater from fifty seven days QoQ, thanks to hold off in the payment by UP point out but PNCL expects normalization by Q2FY21.

As on Q1FY21, PNCL has internet income equilibrium of Rs3.4bn (standalone) and consolidated internet DER is one particular of the most affordable amongst friends at 1x. Inventory trades at 10x FY22 EPS (two STD of its indicate given that IPO) and TP implied valuation is 12x FY22E EPS. We like PNCL for its purchase book visibility and lean equilibrium sheet.

Indeed Securities

Goal cost: Rs 212 | Reco: Acquire

PNC Infratech has reported better‐than‐expected overall performance throughout Q1 FY21 (looking at covid‐19 connected effect). Its income declined 31.five for each cent YoY on standalone basis, mainly impacted by operational shutdown throughout initial 20 days of Arp’20. Also, labor problems and disrupted supply‐chain, and early onset of monsoon impacted execution speed.

Execution speed is probable to witness sharp advancement throughout H2 FY21 with superior labour/raw content availability and far more projects coming less than execution. Working margin to remain at all around 13 for each cent. Any substantial progress on monetization of BOT projects to translate into superior equilibrium sheet placement.

Phillip Cash

Goal cost: Rs 270 | Reco: Acquire

PNC reported decent effects – with headline quantities all in advance of anticipations. The most significant favourable was the firm getting capable to handle the margins (yoy and qoq), with energetic price tag controls. The orderbook, article the the latest wins (4 HAMs and two EPCs) seems sturdy at 3.5x book-to-product sales. The WC situation deteriorated a little bit, but the firm even now remains internet income (only firm apart from Ahluwalia in the sector) – equilibrium sheet remains powerful ample to fund the fairness need of HAM projects, on its possess. The administration taken care of its 10 for each cent YoY income de-development in FY21 – probable to be fulfilled very easily. We foresee powerful development in FY22 and beyond, pushed by powerful equilibrium sheet and orderbook.

We have designed minimal tweaks to our FY21 estimates (+8%). We now worth the EPC organization at 13x FY22 PE (inline with KNR and Ahluwalia, earlier 12x) and the BOT/HAM portfolio at one.0x/.7x P-BV. Our cost goal of Rs 270 (earlier Rs 260).

Sharekhan

Outlook: Favourable | Goal cost: Rs 199-202

Administration expects FY2021 standalone income to drop by 10% y-o-y on account of Covid, monsoons, and hold off in receipt of appointed dates for HAM projects. The firm expects to bag yet another Rs 4,000 crore purchase inflows for equilibrium FY2021 to achieve Rs. 7,000 crore purchase influx goal for FY2021. PNC expects purchase of equivalent quantum in FY2022.

The company’s purchase book remained powerful at Rs. 7,761 crore, although including one particular HAM venture awaiting appointed day, four HAM projects awaiting fiscal closure, and two not too long ago bagged EPC projects, it would be Rs fifteen,525 crore (translating to 3.5x its TTM standalone income). The firm would be requiring all around Rs one,000 crore fairness need for its HAM projects about the up coming 3 years, which would be fulfilled from interior accruals.

PNC is envisioned to decide on divestment of its GhaziabadAligarh in one particular to two months with thanks diligence getting accomplished by a possible customer. We have decreased our earnings estimates for FY2021E and FY2022E lowering execution led by weak execution on account of monsoon and hold off in getting appointed dates for HAM projects. PNC’s powerful purchase backlog (with receipt of appointed dates for HAM projects by Q4FY2021) is envisioned to direct to powerful income development in FY2022.

HDFC Securities

Goal cost: Rs 234 | Reco: Acquire

The firm is targeting to bag Rs 7000 crore of orders, of which it has currently secured Rs 30bn (one HAM & two EPC) year to day. To diversify away from highway phase, PNC is on the lookout at drinking water, metro and railways sector. In this way, PNC has submitted bids for 3 drinking water source projects, Rs 600 crore merged worth, less than the Jal Jeevan Mission.

PNC would need to infuse Rs one thousand crore fairness in less than construction and not too long ago received HAM projects by FY24. While PNC could fund the fairness need from interior accruals, we imagine, monetisation of HAM projects would be important to churn funds and unlock the worth.

Prabhudas Lilladher

Goal cost: Rs 219 | Reco: Acquire

PNCL remains as one particular of our desired picks in highway infra place given its one) healthier purchase book (~Rs155bn including not too long ago bagged projects), two) stellar execution speed with most projects getting accomplished within stipulated time, 3) steady EBITDA margins (fourteen-fifteen%) and 4) at ease financial debt-fairness ratio of .13x. Provided execution surprise in 1Q, we have revised our FY21E/FY22E earnings estimates by six.8 for each cent/7.3 for each cent. At CMP, the inventory trades at a P/E of 13.7x/8.3x onFY21E/FY22E EPS and is buying and selling at an EV of 7x/4.8x FY21E/FY22E EBITDA.

Dolat Cash

Goal cost: Rs 271 | Reco: Acquire

We assume financial debt to increase to Rs 450 crore every in FY21E/ FY22E vs. Rs 370 crore/ Rs 330 crore in FY19/ FY20. We component NWC (% of income) of 32.4 for each cent/ 23.six for each cent (FY21E/ FY22E) vs. twenty five.7 for each cent/ 32.4 for each cent (FY20/ FY19), thanks to a modest development in income, a capex of Rs 300 crore (about FY20-22E), and an fairness expense of Rs 1040 crore (about FY20-22E) in HAM projects.

PNC’s purchase book stands at Rs77.six bn as on Q1FY21. PNC received the Challakere-Hariyur HAM (EPC Rs9.35 bn) and 4 HAM and two EPC projects (EPC worth Rs68.3 bn) which are not provided in purchase book. Looking at this, purchase book stands at Rs155.3 bn (3.5x TTM income). We component influx of Rs112.two bn (Rs77.six bn acquired)/ Rs70 bn in FY21E/ FY22E vs. administration steerage of Rs70 bn in FY21E. PNC expects to receive appointed day for remaining Challakere-Hariyur HAM by mid Oct’20/ 4 HAM projects in Jan’21 and two packages of Delhi Vadodara in Oct’20.